Chances Plain flood map & planning overlays
A planning-constraint profile of Chances Plain
(Western Downs Regional, QLD) - 129.86 km², mapped from live council and
state overlay data. This suburb is highly constrained.
Profile updated 19 September 2026.
Suburb-wide figures; the free map shows which overlays touch your lot.
Constraint readout
129.86 km² - this suburb is highly constrained by planning overlays.
Elevation hillshade with street names, clipped to Chances Plain's boundary, with the flood, bushfire and environmental overlays drawn on top.
Nearby suburbs, nearest first
Chances Plain at a glance
Schools in and near Chances Plain
Public school-location data shows availability across the suburb. These figures do not rate schools and do not assign a particular address to a catchment.
Inside the suburb boundary
0 schools providing primary years and 0 providing secondary years. A combined school may be counted in both teaching levels.
Nearest school availability
Primary: 1.78 km from the suburb boundary
Secondary: 1.78 km from the suburb boundary
Source: Queensland Government school geographic information. Catchment boundaries can divide a suburb and change over time; use the official catchment finder for a specific address.
How Chances Plain is zoned
Selling in Chances Plain? The lot-level zone is the zoning Part 3 of Queensland's Form 2 seller disclosure statement asks for - see our Form 2 planning data guide.
Across its 129.86 km², Chances Plain is highly constrained by planning overlays. About 55% of the suburb sits within a mapped flood overlay, and 11% is flagged bushfire-prone. The dominant land-use zone is Rural. The median lot measures about 1,194,199 m² across 99 parcels.
Who lives in Chances Plain
Census 2021 figures published by the ABS for the Chances Plain suburb boundary itself, not a wider region.
Socio-economic standing
ABS SEIFA 2021 ranks every Australian suburb. Decile 1 is the most disadvantaged tenth of the country, decile 10 the least.
Score 1033, and decile 9 within Queensland. The national average is 1000.
Age profile
Share of Chances Plain's 158 residents in each ABS age band.
Population trend, 2001 to 2025
Estimated resident population of Chinchilla, the wider ABS statistical area containing Chances Plain. There is no annual population series published at suburb level, so this describes the surrounding area rather than Chances Plain itself.
5,677 in 2001 to 9,159 in 2025, up 61%.
Source: ABS Census 2021 and SEIFA 2021 (Suburbs and Localities), Regional Population (SA2), CC BY 4.0. Small counts are randomly adjusted by the ABS.
Chances Plain data sources and coverage
“Not mapped” means we hold no source layer for this suburb - never an all-clear.
| Dataset | Coverage | Publisher |
|---|---|---|
| Flood mapping | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Bushfire-prone mapping | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Zoning | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Heritage and environment | Mapped where published | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Aircraft noise contours (ANEF) | Not held | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data, Defence |
| Demographics | Available | Australian Bureau of Statistics (2021 Census and SEIFA) |
| School availability | Available | Queensland Government |
Profile last materially updated 19 September 2026. See the methodology and full source list. Source data changes over time and critical decisions should be checked with the responsible authority.
Check a specific Chances Plain address
See exactly which overlays touch a single property - the interactive map is free. Need it on paper? A full planning PDF is just $9.
Published flood models are held over parts of Chances Plain. The free check tells you whether one reaches an address; where it does, a Flood Model Report is +$9 with the planning report.
Building or pricing a slab? The $119 geotechnical desktop report covers geology, soils, bores and an indicative AS 2870 site class for a Chances Plain lot.
See what's in the $9 report →Chances Plain planning - frequently asked
Is Chances Plain flood-prone?
About 55% of Chances Plain falls within a mapped flood overlay, against the council-wide suburb average of 49%.
Is Chances Plain bushfire-prone?
Around 11% of Chances Plain is mapped as bushfire-prone, compared with a Western Downs Regional average of 43%.
What is the zoning in Chances Plain?
The dominant planning zone in Chances Plain is Rural, though the suburb also includes Community facilities.
Does Chances Plain have heritage-listed places?
No heritage-listed places are on record within Chances Plain.
What is the typical lot size in Chances Plain?
Across 99 surveyed parcels in Chances Plain, the median lot size is about 1,194,199 m². There are also 21 registered easements mapped in the suburb.
What is the population of Chances Plain?
At the 2021 Census Chances Plain had 158 usual residents, with a median age of 43 and an average household size of 2.8 people. The wider Chinchilla statistical area, which contains Chances Plain, went from 5,677 people in 2001 to 9,159 in 2025, up 61%.
Is Chances Plain an advantaged suburb?
On the ABS SEIFA 2021 index of relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage (IRSAD), Chances Plain scores 1033 and sits in decile 8 of 10 nationally and decile 9 within Queensland (decile 1 is the most disadvantaged tenth, decile 10 the least).
What is the median household income in Chances Plain?
Median household income in Chances Plain was $1,906 a week at the 2021 Census, against $1,432 for the typical suburb in Western Downs Regional. Median rent was $231 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,484 a month.
Compare nearby suburbs
| Nearby suburb | Distance | Flood mapped | Bushfire-prone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boonarga | 8.8 km | 60% | 19% |
| Wychie | 12.2 km | 84% | 4% |
| Chinchilla | 12.3 km | 78% | 46% |
| Red Hill | 14.4 km | 42% | 54% |
| Pelican | 16.3 km | 83% | 25% |
| Baking Board | 16.9 km | 43% | 64% |
| Brigalow | 17.5 km | 72% | 35% |
| Burncluith | 18.0 km | 65% | 33% |
| Hopeland | 18.0 km | 61% | 27% |
| Canaga | 23.2 km | 58% | 39% |