Horseshoe Bay flood map & planning overlays
A planning-constraint profile of Horseshoe Bay
(Townsville City, QLD) - 6.18 km², mapped from live council and
state overlay data. This suburb is highly constrained.
Profile updated 19 September 2026.
Suburb-wide figures; the free map shows which overlays touch your lot.
Constraint readout
6.18 km² - this suburb is highly constrained by planning overlays.
Elevation hillshade with street names, clipped to Horseshoe Bay's boundary, with the flood, bushfire and environmental overlays drawn on top.
Nearby suburbs, nearest first
How common is mapped flood risk across Horseshoe Bay properties?
Overlay percentages say how much land is constrained; these figures say how many properties are actually touched in a suburb-wide analysis of 623 Horseshoe Bay properties. No individual property result is identified on this page.
Lot-level readout
Flood-risk rating across all 623 properties
From LayeredGeo's lot-risk engine: council flood overlays, historical flooding and terrain, resolved to each individual lot in Horseshoe Bay.
Horseshoe Bay at a glance
Schools in and near Horseshoe Bay
Public school-location data shows availability across the suburb. These figures do not rate schools and do not assign a particular address to a catchment.
Inside the suburb boundary
0 schools providing primary years and 0 providing secondary years. A combined school may be counted in both teaching levels.
Nearest school availability
Primary: 2.58 km from the suburb boundary
Secondary: 13.49 km from the suburb boundary
Source: Queensland Government school geographic information. Catchment boundaries can divide a suburb and change over time; use the official catchment finder for a specific address.
How Horseshoe Bay is zoned
Selling in Horseshoe Bay? The lot-level zone is the zoning Part 3 of Queensland's Form 2 seller disclosure statement asks for - see our Form 2 planning data guide.
Across its 6.18 km², Horseshoe Bay is highly constrained by planning overlays. About 28% of the suburb sits within a mapped flood overlay, and 86% is flagged bushfire-prone. There are 2 heritage-listed sites on record, and the dominant land-use zone is Conservation. The terrain is largely flat, and the median lot measures about 789 m² across 658 parcels.
Recent development applications in Horseshoe Bay
Applications are counted across the whole gazetted suburb from the public Townsville City Council register. No application address or individual property is published here.
Submitted in the past 12 months
Latest included submission: 7 August 2026.
Previous 12 months: 38 (58% lower in the latest period).
Counts depend on applications that the council publishes and that can be assigned to a suburb. Categories can overlap when one application covers several types. Totals below five and their latest dates are suppressed. Register last synchronised 19 September 2026. Check the official council register.
Who lives in Horseshoe Bay
Census 2021 figures published by the ABS for the Horseshoe Bay suburb boundary itself, not a wider region.
Socio-economic standing
ABS SEIFA 2021 ranks every Australian suburb. Decile 1 is the most disadvantaged tenth of the country, decile 10 the least.
Score 943, and decile 4 within Queensland. The national average is 1000.
Age profile
Share of Horseshoe Bay's 611 residents in each ABS age band.
Population trend, 2001 to 2025
Estimated resident population of Magnetic Island, the wider ABS statistical area containing Horseshoe Bay. There is no annual population series published at suburb level, so this describes the surrounding area rather than Horseshoe Bay itself.
2,090 in 2001 to 2,658 in 2025, up 27%.
Source: ABS Census 2021 and SEIFA 2021 (Suburbs and Localities), Regional Population (SA2), CC BY 4.0. Small counts are randomly adjusted by the ABS.
Horseshoe Bay data sources and coverage
“Not mapped” means we hold no source layer for this suburb - never an all-clear.
| Dataset | Coverage | Publisher |
|---|---|---|
| Flood mapping | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Bushfire-prone mapping | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Zoning | Mapped | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Heritage and environment | Mapped where published | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data |
| Aircraft noise contours (ANEF) | Not held | the relevant council planning scheme and Queensland Government spatial data, Defence |
| Demographics | Available | Australian Bureau of Statistics (2021 Census and SEIFA) |
| School availability | Available | Queensland Government |
| Development applications | Available as suburb totals | Townsville City Council |
Profile last materially updated 19 September 2026. See the methodology and full source list. Source data changes over time and critical decisions should be checked with the responsible authority.
Check a specific Horseshoe Bay address
See exactly which overlays touch a single property - the interactive map is free. Need it on paper? A full planning PDF is just $9.
Published flood models are held over parts of Horseshoe Bay. The free check tells you whether one reaches an address; where it does, a Flood Model Report is +$9 with the planning report.
The Terrain Report shows the fall of the block - contours, cross sections and a 3D model of the lot (+$9 with the planning report).
Building or pricing a slab? The $119 geotechnical desktop report covers geology, soils, bores and an indicative AS 2870 site class for a Horseshoe Bay lot.
See what's in the $9 report →Horseshoe Bay planning - frequently asked
Is Horseshoe Bay flood-prone?
About 28% of Horseshoe Bay falls within a mapped flood overlay, against the council-wide suburb average of 39%. Across the suburb, 0% of the 623 properties we analysed carry some level of mapped flood risk.
Is Horseshoe Bay bushfire-prone?
Around 86% of Horseshoe Bay is mapped as bushfire-prone, compared with a Townsville City average of 50%.
What is the zoning in Horseshoe Bay?
The dominant planning zone in Horseshoe Bay is Conservation, though the suburb also includes Low Density Residential and Rural Residential.
Does Horseshoe Bay have heritage-listed places?
Horseshoe Bay has 2 heritage-listed places on record.
Is Horseshoe Bay hilly or flat?
Horseshoe Bay is largely flat: the median ground slope is about 3%, and 3% of measured points sit on grades of 15% or steeper. Ground level runs from roughly 3 m to 30 m AHD across the suburb.
What is the typical lot size in Horseshoe Bay?
Across 658 surveyed parcels in Horseshoe Bay, the median lot size is about 789 m². There are also 60 registered easements mapped in the suburb.
Does Horseshoe Bay have a train station?
There is no train station inside Horseshoe Bay itself. The suburb is served by 10 bus stops.
What is the population of Horseshoe Bay?
At the 2021 Census Horseshoe Bay had 611 usual residents, with a median age of 57 and an average household size of 2.1 people. The wider Magnetic Island statistical area, which contains Horseshoe Bay, went from 2,090 people in 2001 to 2,658 in 2025, up 27%.
Is Horseshoe Bay an advantaged suburb?
On the ABS SEIFA 2021 index of relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage (IRSAD), Horseshoe Bay scores 943 and sits in decile 3 of 10 nationally and decile 4 within Queensland (decile 1 is the most disadvantaged tenth, decile 10 the least).
What is the median household income in Horseshoe Bay?
Median household income in Horseshoe Bay was $1,067 a week at the 2021 Census, against $1,510 for the typical suburb in Townsville City. Median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,127 a month.
Compare nearby suburbs
| Nearby suburb | Distance | Flood mapped | Bushfire-prone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia | 2.2 km | 8% | 90% |
| Florence Bay | 2.3 km | 10% | 91% |
| Nelly Bay | 3.6 km | 27% | 82% |
| West Point | 3.8 km | 9% | 93% |
| Picnic Bay | 5.5 km | 17% | 93% |
| Pallarenda | 11.9 km | 55% | 67% |
| Shelly Beach | 12.2 km | 51% | 87% |
| North Ward | 14.6 km | 55% | 11% |
| Rowes Bay | 14.9 km | 100% | 36% |
| Belgian Gardens | 15.2 km | 66% | 15% |